Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.909555 2.179592 2.476178 2.826421 3.229162 3.678278 4.217804
2025-09-21 1.523311 1.877358 2.298444 2.837484 3.511125 4.327698 5.396449
2025-09-28 1.214469 1.595079 2.078778 2.741342 3.629708 4.785841 6.414621
2025-10-05 1.074935 1.492849 2.055846 2.874695 4.043672 5.665076 8.106519
2025-10-12 0.970846 1.416323 2.048213 3.017649 4.481495 6.631710 10.070656
2025-10-19 0.867675 1.322169 1.997027 3.082874 4.807101 7.474057 11.979140
2025-10-26 0.781327 1.238366 1.945700 3.134185 5.110181 8.315001 14.008940
2025-11-02 0.682737 1.120648 1.823869 3.052176 5.180563 8.783553 15.484984
2025-11-09 0.587278 0.994766 1.671256 2.895050 5.096667 8.971851 16.488181
2025-11-16 0.529573 0.924559 1.601625 2.868692 5.232604 9.554422 18.287783
2025-11-23 0.475636 0.853985 1.522096 2.812514 5.303239 10.021905 19.932477
2025-11-30 0.456500 0.843184 1.546885 2.950380 5.754934 11.265228 23.306740
2025-12-07 0.427605 0.812133 1.532972 3.017004 6.086217 12.339040 26.555638
2025-12-14 0.391936 0.764030 1.481204 3.002363 6.251947 13.102962 29.276862
2025-12-21 0.349489 0.697728 1.386234 2.887187 6.190877 13.380299 30.956826
2025-12-28 0.337131 0.690505 1.408552 3.020877 6.686259 14.941802 35.907650
2026-01-04 0.326666 0.685870 1.435413 3.167606 7.231724 16.698851 41.658520
2026-01-11 0.309875 0.665781 1.427030 3.234184 7.601275 18.100939 46.776745
2026-01-18 0.293442 0.644555 1.413589 3.287061 7.945346 19.493223 52.131549
2026-01-25 0.268167 0.600777 1.344917 3.200293 7.933385 19.995022 55.159162
2026-02-01 0.240072 0.547555 1.248885 3.034878 7.698882 19.888524 56.452330
2026-02-08 0.223800 0.520192 1.210162 3.007041 7.817640 20.733236 60.671240
2026-02-15 0.207077 0.490015 1.161527 2.947941 7.845071 21.334794 64.280385